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  • The last time your dollar wasn't losing to prices: February 2021

The last time your dollar wasn't losing to prices: February 2021

The Fed just raised rates to 4% last month and CPI is still running nearly double the target.

One Number
One Number

Oct 14, 2026

66

MONEY & MARKETS • PURCHASING POWER & INFLATION

The BLS releases the September CPI this morning, and forecasters expect something near 3.7%. That would make it 67 months in a row above the Fed’s 2% target. The last time your dollar wasn’t losing ground to prices… February 2021. Gas was $2.46 a gallon. A dozen eggs cost $1.60. Since then, CPI peaked at 9.1%, crashed back, and settled into a range that’s still nearly double the target. The Fed just hiked rates to 4% last month. And the streak keeps running.

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Five and a half years of missing the same target, and this morning’s report is about to make it 67.

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, CPI-U All Items (12-month % change), March 2021–August 2026
One number. Every morning.
— Jack Corbin

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