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One Number

Behind every massive trend, shift, or headline, there is usually just one defining metric that tells the whole story.

Latest Publications


MONEY & MARKETS

The Social Security trust fund deadline just moved up one quarter

Jul 13, 2026

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1 min read

The Social Security trust fund deadline just moved up one quarter

Last month the Trustees moved the deadline up yet again. The average retiree loses $458 a month the moment it happens.

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MONEY & MARKETS

The yield that preceded the last crash

Jul 10, 2026

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1 min read

The yield that preceded the last crash

Same level. Different Fed. Same warning.

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THE ECONOMY & MAIN STREET

The American Dream just changed hands

Jul 9, 2026

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1 min read

The American Dream just changed hands

Four years ago, this wasn't happening.

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MONEY & MARKETS

One in eight dollars charged to American credit cards hasn't been paid in three months

Jul 8, 2026

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2 min read

One in eight dollars charged to American credit cards hasn't been paid in three months

The Great Recession peak was 13.7%. The gap between that low point and right now is shrinking fast.

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COST OF LIVING

In 2019, the mortgage payment was $1,072. Today it's $2,155.

Jul 7, 2026

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1 min read

In 2019, the mortgage payment was $1,072. Today it's $2,155.

That's the 30-year tab for buying today versus buying in 2019. Same loan type. Very different era.

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PEOPLE & SOCIETY

4 in 10 working-age Americans aren't even in the labor force

Jul 6, 2026

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1 min read

4 in 10 working-age Americans aren't even in the labor force

Not laid off. Not between jobs. They just stopped looking, and the count stopped with them.

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