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One Number

Behind every massive trend, shift, or headline, there is usually just one defining metric that tells the whole story.

Latest Publications

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GOVERNMENT & POWER

It tripled in under twenty years and the CBO sees no floor

Oct 28, 2026

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1 min read

It tripled in under twenty years and the CBO sees no floor

The 50-year average for this ratio is 51%. We are now sitting at exactly twice that.

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PEOPLE & SOCIETY

117 years of CDC records, two world wars, a Depression, a pandemic — never this low

Oct 27, 2026

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2 min read

117 years of CDC records, two world wars, a Depression, a pandemic — never this low

The rate has fallen in all but two of the past eighteen years, and in each of the last four.

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MONEY & MARKETS

Only one reading in 74 years has ever come in lower

Oct 26, 2026

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1 min read

Only one reading in 74 years has ever come in lower

The University of Michigan has been asking this question since 1952. This month's answer ranks near the very bottom.

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THE ECONOMY & MAIN STREET

You'd have to go back to April 2012 to find a worse reading

Oct 23, 2026

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2 min read

You'd have to go back to April 2012 to find a worse reading

Back then the market was still digging out from 2008. This time there's no obvious excuse.

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MONEY & MARKETS

The income group that feels the least financial pressure earns $100K to $200K

Oct 22, 2026

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1 min read

The income group that feels the least financial pressure earns $100K to $200K

You can outrun your tax bracket. You apparently cannot outrun your expenses.

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COST OF LIVING

One in four new-car buyers is now signing a 7-year loan

Oct 21, 2026

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1 min read

One in four new-car buyers is now signing a 7-year loan

A decade ago, that would have gotten you laughed out of the dealership. Today it's one in four buyers.

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