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  • CPI came in clean. The 30-year didn't care.

CPI came in clean. The 30-year didn't care.

Inflation matched Wall Street's forecast on the nose. The long bond stayed at 2007 levels anyway.

One Number
One Number

Aug 13, 2026

MONEY & MARKETS • PURCHASING POWER & INFLATION

The BLS printed July CPI this morning at exactly 3.4% — right on the consensus, down a tick from June. The good news the Fed was hoping for. And the 30-year barely moved. It closed at 5.24%, one basis point below yesterday, still at levels last seen in July 2007. When your inflation report lands perfectly and the long bond doesn’t give you an inch, that is the market telling you something. The CBO reported yesterday that the federal government is now paying $3.18 billion a day just in interest on the debt. At these yields, the tab does not shrink.

❝

The bond market got the CPI print it asked for, and refused to celebrate.

Source: BLS Consumer Price Index, July 2026 (rel. Aug. 12, 2026); Federal Reserve H.15, Aug. 12, 2026; CBO Monthly Budget Review, August 2026
One number. Every morning.
— Jack Corbin

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