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  • 96 years of FBI murder records — and not one year looks like 2026

96 years of FBI murder records — and not one year looks like 2026

From the highest murder rate in a generation to the lowest ever recorded — in the same decade.

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Oct 13, 2026

PEOPLE & SOCIETY • CRIME, SAFETY & RULE OF LAW

Five years ago, America recorded 22,900 murders. The rate: 6.8 per 100,000… the highest rate since the early ’90s. Then it reversed. Hard. Jeff Asher, who tracks FBI crime data across nearly 600 police departments, projects the 2026 rate at roughly 4.0. Go back through 96 years of federal records and you won’t find a single year that low. Four straight years of historic declines… and your country’s murder rate just dropped by more than 40 percent.

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In five years, America’s murder rate went from its highest rate in a generation to the lowest level ever recorded.

Source: FBI Crime Data Explorer; AH Datalytics Real-Time Crime Index, 2026
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