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The last time bonds did this, Bush was president

Iraq surge. iPhone launch. Pre-housing-crash.

One Number
One Number

May 20, 2026

MONEY & MARKETS • PURCHASING POWER

The long bond just closed at a level you haven’t seen since July 2007. Think about that… the iPhone was 24 days old. Bear Stearns was still standing. The housing crash hadn’t happened yet. Now your 30-year fixed mortgage is back above 6.6%, the equity risk premium has collapsed to nearly zero, and the bond market is telling you something nobody on cable will say out loud: capital is fleeing stocks for Treasuries because 5.2% guaranteed beats whatever the S&P does next. Every retirement portfolio in America is being repriced in real time.

❝

The last time the 30-year yielded this much, your grandkid wasn’t born yet.

Source: U.S. Department of the Treasury / Federal Reserve H.15, May 19, 2026.
One number. Every morning.
— Jack Corbin

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